What Lies Ahead for Raila Odinga After AUC Setback?
Former Kenyan prime minister Raila Odinga in Nairobi in August 2024. (Simon Maina/AFP)

Former Prime Minister Raila Odinga’s bid for the chairperson position of the African Union Commission (AUC) ended in disappointment as he lost to Djibouti’s Mahmoud Ali Youssouf after a series of intense voting rounds.

Despite the setback, Raila expressed optimism about his future role in Kenyan politics and the continent’s affairs.

Key Takeaways

  • Raila Odinga lost the AUC chairperson election to Mahmoud Ali Youssouf of Djibouti.
  • The election involved six rounds of voting, with Raila initially leading.
  • Raila remains committed to serving Africa in other capacities and hinted at a return to Kenyan politics.
  • President William Ruto emphasized the importance of unity in Africa despite the loss.

Election Overview

The AUC election, held in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, was a closely watched event, with Raila Odinga seen as a strong contender.

In the first round, Raila led with 20 votes, but his support dwindled in subsequent rounds, ultimately leading to his defeat.

Youssouf secured the chairperson position after gaining a two-thirds majority in the final round, marking a significant diplomatic achievement for Djibouti.

Voting Breakdown

The voting process was complex, with Raila initially gaining momentum:

First Round: Raila – 20 votes, Youssouf – 18 votes.

Second Round: Raila – 22 votes, Youssouf – 19 votes.

Third Round: Youssouf – 23 votes, Raila – 20 votes.

Fourth Round: Youssouf – 25 votes, Raila – 21 votes.

Fifth Round: Youssouf – 26 votes, Raila – 22 votes.

Final Round: Youssouf – 33 votes, securing the chairperson position.

Raila’s Response

After the election, Raila Odinga graciously conceded defeat, stating, “I am not bitter; I am very happy indeed.”

He emphasized the importance of the democratic process and expressed his willingness to serve Africa in other capacities. Raila hinted at returning to Kenyan politics, where he has a long-standing legacy.

Political Implications

Raila’s defeat has significant implications for Kenya’s political landscape. President William Ruto, who supported Raila’s candidacy, acknowledged the loss but reiterated Kenya’s commitment to playing a vital role in African affairs.

The outcome may reinvigorate Raila’s political career as he prepares for the 2027 elections, potentially positioning him as a key opposition figure.

Future Prospects

In light of the recent developments, there are speculations about Raila’s next steps. Some political analysts suggest that he could be offered a role in Ruto’s government, possibly even a return to the position of Prime Minister.

This potential collaboration could reshape the political dynamics in Kenya, fostering unity and cooperation between the ruling party and the opposition.

As Raila Odinga navigates this new chapter, his experience and influence will likely play a crucial role in shaping Kenya’s future political landscape.

Author

  • Ericson Mangoli

    Ericson Mangoli is the founder and Managing Editor of Who Owns Africa, a platform for African journalism that focuses on politics, governance, business and entrepreneurs who are changing perspectives of the African continent.

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