Inside the escalating tension between Ruto allies and Raila's camp
William Ruto (left) and Raila Odinga during the AU Summit in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia on 15 February 2025. © Amanuel Sileshi/AFP

President William Ruto’s allies have leveled accusations against members of Raila Odinga’s camp, claiming they are engaging in political blackmail against the Head of State.

This escalating tension within the government could lead to significant political fallout as both sides prepare for the upcoming 2027 elections.

Key Takeaways

  • Ruto’s allies accuse Raila’s camp of blackmailing the president.
  • Tensions are rising within the broad-based government coalition.
  • Raila Odinga’s recent meetings signal a potential opposition alliance.
  • Political analysts warn of a return to a polarized political landscape.

Accusations of Blackmail

The accusations surfaced after a series of statements from prominent ODM leaders, including Edwin Sifuna and James Orengo, who criticized Ruto’s administration for undermining devolution.

They argue that the current government is reverting to pre-devolution practices reminiscent of the Nyayo era, which they claim threatens the democratic gains made since the 2010 Constitution.

Senate Majority Leader Aaron Cheruiyot responded to these claims, asserting that the ODM members are attempting to blackmail the president by leveraging their political influence.

He emphasized that the cooperation deal signed between ODM and Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance (UDA) was meant to foster governance and citizen welfare, not to serve as a tool for political manipulation.

Rising Tensions in Government

The political landscape is becoming increasingly fraught as both sides dig in their heels. Ruto’s allies are concerned that the ODM’s hardline stance could jeopardize the fragile coalition formed after the last elections.

The cooperation agreement, which outlines a ten-point agenda for governance, is now under scrutiny as accusations of betrayal and constitutional backsliding emerge.

Raila Odinga has attempted to quell the unrest within his party by calling for civility and restraint among members.

However, the growing divide suggests that the coalition may be fraying at the seams, with some ODM leaders openly questioning their commitment to the agreement with Ruto.

The Road Ahead

As the political climate heats up, both Ruto and Odinga are gearing up for the 2027 elections. Ruto’s administration is actively working to solidify its base, with Cabinet Secretaries taking on more prominent political roles to promote the government’s achievements and counter opposition narratives. This strategy aims to prevent the disconnect that plagued Ruto’s first term.

Conversely, Odinga’s camp is rallying opposition forces, with recent meetings indicating a potential coalition aimed at challenging Ruto’s grip on power.

The Democratic National Alliance (DNA), launched by Godfrey Kanoti, is one such initiative that seeks to unite anti-Ruto factions.

Conclusion

The accusations of blackmail and the rising tensions within the government highlight the precarious nature of Kenya’s political landscape as the country approaches another election cycle.

With both sides preparing for a fierce battle, the coming months will be crucial in determining the future of the coalition and the direction of the nation.

Political analysts warn that the current situation could lead to a return to a more confrontational and polarized political environment, reminiscent of past election cycles.

As both Ruto and Odinga navigate these turbulent waters, the stakes have never been higher for the future of Kenyan politics.

Author

  • Maureen Wairimu is the East Africa correspondent for Who Owns Africa based in Nairobi . She covers politics, business, technology and economics across the East African region. She joined Who Owns Africa in 2022 after completing a Bachelor’s degree in Journalism and previously she was an editor and reporter in Kenya and Uganda.

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